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Bred, raised, educated and life long Floridian, and proud of it. E-mail at one(dot)legged(dot)old(dot)fat(dot)man(at)gmail(dot)com
Showing posts with label weather. Show all posts
Showing posts with label weather. Show all posts

Saturday, February 19, 2011

Today
Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Areas of fog early in the morning. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight
Partly cloudy. Patchy dense fog after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds 5 mph.

Hazardous Weather
Areas of fog are expected both Saturday and Sunday mornings and may be locally dense in a few spots.

Forecast Details
Water vapor imagery was showing a broad ridge across the Gulf Coast. Surface analysis was showing a cold front across far north Georgia and a broad ridge covering the Gulf Coast into Florida. Observation and fog imagery was indicating mostly clear skies over the area due to west winds and large temperature/dew point spreads. However as boundary layer cools there may be areas of fog that will form with best chances across the western half of the forecast area. However, no widespread fog is expected at this time.

The front to the north will sweep through the area as a dry backdoor front this afternoon and wash out just south of the area tonight and Sunday. High pressure will quickly build in from the middle Atlantic region bringing a wind shift to the northeast at the coast with cooler temperatures there both this afternoon and Sunday. Mild temperatures still expected inland. Areas of fog are expected tonight with patchy dense fog possible across the far south near the washed out front.

Today's Pollen Levels: 7.7 High Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper,Alder and Oak.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Friday, February 18, 2011

Today
Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Areas of dense fog early in the morning. Visibility one quarter mile or less at times early in the morning. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight
Mostly clear. Patchy fog in the evening, then areas of fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds 5 mph.

Hazardous Weather
Across northeast Florida, patches of dense are forecast through mid morning. The visibility may be reduced to a quarter of a mile or less at times in a few spots.

Forecast Details
Water vapor imagery was showing a broad ridge across the eastern Gulf and southeast US. At the surface a ridge of high pressure was across north central Florida and moving south. Surface observation and fog imagery indicated dense fog was across much of coastal and inland southeast Georgia and have a dense fog advisory there until 10 am this morning. Elsewhere skies partly cloudy with areas of fog forming which may get locally dense in a few areas early in the morning.

A dry forecast through Saturday as strong high aloft builds across the Gulf of Mexico and surface high remains over Florida. High temperatures much above normal reaching near 80 inland and middle 70s coast. Lows in the 40s and 50s. Main concern will be fog potential. Have issued a dense fog advisory for coastal and inland southeast Georgia until 10 am. There may be patchy fog along the coast this afternoon and evening with the East Coast sea breeze and have continued previous forecast with patchy fog there. Areas of fog are expected late at night through Sunday which may be locally dense in a couple of spots. A backdoor front moves through the area late Saturday bringing in cloudiness and cooler temperatures (especially along the coast) but no precipitation expected.

Today's Pollen Levels: 7.1 Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper,Alder and Oak.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Thursday, February 17, 2011

...Mild Days And Foggy Nights Expected Through The End Of The Week...


Now
Through 10 am... widespread dense fog will reduce the visibility to a quarter of a mile or less. Motorists should exercise caution and use low beam headlights. Dense fog advisory in effect until 10 am EST this morning.

Today
Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Widespread dense fog early in the morning. Visibility one quarter mile or less at times early in the morning. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight
Mostly clear. Patchy fog in the evening, then patchy dense fog after midnight. Lows around 50. Southeast winds 5 mph.

Hazardous Weather
Widespread dense fog has developed along the coastal areas of northeast Florida and has spread inland across much of northeast Florida and inland southeast Georgia. A dense fog advisories have been posted. Visibilities less than one quarter of a mile can be expected. the fog should lift during the mid-morning hours.

Forecast Details
Early this morning...weak coastal trough lingers over the coastal waters with scattered light rain and drizzle. Otherwise low clouds and patchy dense fog has developed on the back side of coastal trough over the land areas and will be tough to pinpoint any certain area for a dense fog advisory with all of the abundant cloudiness. Temperatures will generally hang out in the 50s through the remainder of the night.

Today...low clouds and fog in the morning will slowly dissipate and make for partly to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon as coastal trough breaks down and flow becomes more uniform out of the southeast. This flow will pump up maximum temperatures well into the 70s this afternoon.

Tonight...high pressure ridge from the western Atlantic will build west over the forecast area and expect mostly clear skies to help set the stage for a possible more widespread dense fog event with advisory conditions likely over inland areas. Lows generally in the lower 50s.

Today's Pollen Levels: 7.3 High Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper,Alder and Oak.

... Dense Fog Advisory In Effect Until 10 AM EST This Morning... 

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a dense fog advisory, which is in effect until 10 am EST this morning. 

Widespread dense fog has developed across northeast Florida early this morning and is spreading northwest. Widespread visibilities less than one quarter of a mile can be expected. The dense fog should lift during the mid- morning hours.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Today
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 % chance of rain and drizzle. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight
Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the evening, then areas of dense fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

Hazardous Weather
Areas of dense fog will be possible late tonight and early Thursday morning. Local visibilities less than one quarter of a mile will be possible.

Forecast Details
Early this morning...isentropic lift already evident as light/rain and drizzle showing up on the radar from dab northwest into the St Johns River basin. This will continue to develop and lift northward through sunrise.

Today...with high parked just east of the Carolinas, low level flow will remain easterly with southerly flow at 850 MB lifting over top of the shallow moisture layer. This will continue the weak isentropic lift event with light rain and drizzle possible, mainly along the coastal counties, but will spread enough inland to impact most of the forecast area with 10-30% measurable rain chances. Maximum temperatures will range from the 60s along the coastal counties to the lower 70s well inland along the I-75 corridor under mostly cloudy skies.

Tonight...isentropic up-glide will continue over the forecast area during the evening hours before fading and pushing offshore during the overnight hours. Increase in low level moisture and partial clearing skies overnight will lead to a good chance of dense fog with advisory conditions possible by morning. Mild overnight lows generally in the 50s.

Today's Pollen Levels: 7.3 High Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper,Alder and Oak.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Today
Mostly clear. Patchy fog early in the morning. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 mph increasing to northeast 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight
Partly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Forecast Details
Early this morning...some light west southwest flow off the northeast Gulf of Mexico has allowed some patchy fog to develop along the I-75 corridor south of Gainesville, mainly in the Ocala/Marion County vicinity.

Today a back door cold front currently over the Carolinas pushing southward and will cross the forecast area this morning. This will veer the winds to the northeast and expect breezy conditions along the coast with sustained winds at 15-20 miles per hour with gusts to 25 miles per hour at times. Will be very close to Lake Wind Advisory criteria at times but not enough to warrant issuance at this time. Maximum temperatures a bit cooler than yesterday topping out only in the 60s today.

Tonight winds veer to the east overnight off the Atlantic and with some isentropic upglide developing in the low levels along with shallow moisture, some sprinkles will start to develop along the coastal areas. Mild overnight lows in the 50s along the coast and 40s further inland.

Today's Pollen Levels: 7.2 Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper,Alder and Oak.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Monday, February 14, 2011

Today
Sunny. Highs around 70. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Hazardous Weather
Dry conditions and increasing winds will produce an elevated fire danger this afternoon.

Forecast Details
.A sheared upper level short wave trough was approaching the lower Mississippi River Valley with a weakening surface front. Surface high pressure dominated the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula with a light west-southwest flow across the JAX County Warning Area. Temperatures were in the upper 30s inland to middle 40s coast under clear skies. Temperatures were generally on track for a light freeze inland this morning with areas of frost, provided the winds remain light.

The weak cold front to our north will approach today as the surface ridge retrogrades slightly. The pressure gradient will increase this afternoon in advance of the front, with breezy winds across our Georgia zones with gusts of 25-30 miles per hour possible. Warm westerly surface flow and height rises aloft support warmer highs today near 70 degree all the way to the coast since East Coast sea breeze will be pinned offshore. May see an increase in a few cumulus and cirrus this afternoon as the trough nears, otherwise sunny skies will prevail.

Tonight the front will push south of the area as winds shift north-northeast. Onshore flow will develop by sunrise with warmer lows in the upper 30s inland to 40s coast.

Today's Pollen Levels: 7.2 Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper,Alder and Oak.

... Red Flag Warning Now In Effect From 11 AM This Morning To 7 PM EST This Evening... 

The red flag warning is now in effect from 11 am this morning to 7 PM EST this evening. 

West to southwest winds will increase to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 15 to 20 mph at times. This will combine with minimum relative humidity values in the 25 to 30 % range this afternoon. Durations below 35 % relative humidity of 5 to 7 hours are expected. Thus, a red flag warning has been issued.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Saturday, February 12, 2011

Today
Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight
Clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 5 mph.

Tomorrow
Areas of frost before 8 am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 65. Wind chill values as low as 27 early. Calm wind becoming west between 5 and 8 mph. 

Tomorrow Night
 Mostly clear, with a low around 34. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm. 

Hazardous Weather
High pressure over the gulf coast region will result in a dry and cooler air mass over the local area this weekend. Freezing temperatures are expected across much of southeast Georgia and inland northeast Florida tonight.

A freeze watch is in effect for much of inland northeast Florida tonight west of the Saint Johns River. A few locations across the Suwanee river valley may near hard freeze conditions for a brief period early Sunday morning. widespread to areas of frost are expected.

Forecast Details
A sheared upper level trough was pressing east while still digging across the eastern Continental United States . A thin band of cirrus was over the local county warning area on the south side of the southern stream jet. In the low levels, low pressure was tracking north northeast of the Carolina coast while a surface high pressure was centered over the gulf coast states. A lee side Appalachian trough was noted in the MSAS analysis and this feature could bring some gusty and cool northerly winds across our county warning area this afternoon as it moves east southeast over the Atlantic.

Local temperatures ranged from the low/mid 30s across our western Georgia zones this hour to low 40s along the Florida Atlantic coast. winds were light and west northwest 5 kts or less. most areas were calm. Given good radiational cooling conditions and very wet grounds, expect areas to widespread frost this morning across most inland areas.

Clear skies, cool temperatures and inland freezes are expected today through Monday as surface high pressure dominates to our west. Highs will moderate from the mid 50s/low 60s today to the low/mid 60s sun. since subsidence will be stronger over the area tonight and drier air more entrenched, leaned on the cooler side of guidance and under-cut slightly across our inland zones. This yields a more widespread freeze event for our inland Florida zones tonight and have therefore expanded the freeze watch for all our inland Florida zones less St. Johns and Flagler. Probability grids suggest about a 40-50% of a marginal hard freeze event across our Suwanee valley zones tonight. A this time durations of hard freeze temperatures seem too marginal for a hard freeze watch. Areas of frost are expected once again tonight.

Update
Large high pressure ridge dominates across the southern US from Texas to Florida with a broad middle/upper trough over the eastern US and middle/upper ridge in the western Continental US. dry and stable conditions today with 12z JAX sounding showing incredibly dry conditions with precipitable water of 0.08 inches. Sunny conditions with northwest to north winds around 10-15 miles per hour expected today. Highs forecast to reach the upper 50s to near 60. No changes to the forecast other than to remove freeze warning for inland northeast Florida counties this morning. A freeze watch remains in effect for most of northeast Florida tonight as clear skies and the cold air mass promote good radiational cooling with minimums from middle 20s to near 30.

Today's Pollen Levels: 6.3 Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

... Red Flag Warning Remains In Effect From 10 AM This Morning To 7 PM EST This Evening...
... Fire Weather Watch Now In Effect From Late Sunday Morning Through Early Sunday Evening... 


The Fire Weather Watch is now in effect from late Sunday morning through early Sunday evening. A red flag warning remains in effect from 10 am this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

Today, much drier air mass settling over the region will allow minimum relative humidity values to bottom out in the 20 to 25 % range this afternoon. Relative humidity values are expected to drop below 35 % for a duration of 6 to 8 hours.

Northwest winds will increase to 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph at times.
Sunday, dry air mass over the region will allow minimum relative humidity values to bottom out around 25 % Sunday afternoon. Relative humidity values are expected to drop below 35 % for a duration of 5 to 7 hours.

... Freeze Watch Remains In Effect From Late Tonight Through Sunday Morning... 

A freeze watch remains in effect from late tonight through Sunday morning. 

Sub-freezing temperatures are expected for 5 to 7 hours tonight with minimum values in the upper 20s. Areas of frost are expected.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Friday, February 11, 2011

Today
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy drizzle in the morning. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight
Mostly clear. Patchy frost after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

Forecast Details
A broad upper trough was digging across the central Continental US the sub-tropopause jet stream was on the east side of the trough, with the right rear quadrant over the deep south. In the lower levels, a surface low was developing offshore of Daytona Beach this morning, with increasing north-northeast flow over the southeast Georgia and northeast Florida coastline. Low ceilings blanketed much of the JAX County Warning Area due to low level isentropic lift. MSAS analysis indicated a weaker surface low over central Georgia, and this may reflect the 925/850 low position. Despite abundant cloud cover, temperatures are falling into the middle 30s near the Altamaha river basin this hour with middle/upper 40s reported across northeast Florida.

The surface low pressure offshore of the Florida Atlantic coast will gradually track north-northeast of the area this morning, with coastal convergence bringing a low chance of rain showers and patchy drizzle to our eastern zones through midday. As the upper trough approaches and continues to deepen over the eastern Continental US this afternoon, it will bring drier air over the area and push the low level 925/850 MB low over Georgia offshore of the Georgia coast. Low ceilings are expected to erode from west-east this afternoon. Temperatures will range from the low/middle 50s across Georgia and the coast to near 60 across our southern Florida zones.

Tonight leaned toward the warmer met MOS due to elevated winds over night, but shallow cold air advection/drainage flow from the north-northwest around a surface ridge over the Gulf Coast region will focus a dry and cold air mass across our western Georgia and North Florida Suwannee River valley zones. Have raised a freeze watch tonight for these two Florida counties. Patchy frost will be possible in sheltered areas tonight.

Today's Pollen Levels: 6.8 Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Thursday, February 10, 2011

Today
Rain in the morning, then slight chance of rain and drizzle in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80 %.

Tonight
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds 5 mph.

Hazardous Weather
Cold rain associated with a low pressure system will continue across the area today with clearing from the northwest during the afternoon. Total rainfall amounts are expected to be one quarter inch to one inch.

Forecast Details
A cold front is across northeast Florida early this morning with St. Augustine the most recent site reporting a 180 degree wind shift from southeast winds to northwest. MSAS analysis centers a low the northeast Gulf and another near the northeast Florida coast. With these lows traveling along the front and near zonal flow aloft, the front will be slow to move out of the area. Isolated lightning has occurred as storms move onshore off the Gulf. Most storms have been weakening as they track eastward. NAM suggests mu convective available potential energy of around 200j over Suwannee Valley in pre-dawn hours, then decreasing by sunrise as front drifts southeast. Isentropic lift is keeping most of precipitation on north side of front, and will keep likely to categorical probability of precipitation for most of the area through the morning while the system slowly moves toward the southeast. Rain/drizzle is expected to end for most of southeast Georgia and Suwannee River valley by early afternoon and will go with 20-30% for northeast Florida coast inland to Gainesville and Ocala after 1 PM.

By tonight, models have the front stalled over South Florida as low pressure develops near the Bahamas. This low will track toward the North Atlantic Friday and Friday night.

Today's Pollen Levels: 3.9 Low Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Today
Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight
Mostly clear. Colder. Widespread frost after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s. Northeast winds 5 mph.

Hazardous Weather
A light freeze will be possible tonight through early Wednesday morning inland areas of northeast Florida. Areas of frost are also possible.

Forecast Details
Partly cloudy conditions this morning giving way to sunny skies and continued cool conditions this afternoon. Maximum temperatures to top put only in the 50s and brisk northwesterly flow will remain close to 10-15 miles per hour with gusts up to 20 miles per hour at times.

Tonight, a light freeze is still expected over inland areas with confidence grids still supporting a 50% or greater chance of sub- freezing temperatures possible. Will likely need to upgrade freeze watch to a warning with the afternoon package and may need to issue a frost advisory for adjacent counties in northeast Florida to account for widespread frost that will be possible late tonight.

Today's Pollen Levels: 0.8 Low (on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

... Freeze Watch Remains In Effect From Late Tonight Through Wednesday Morning... 
A freeze watch remains in effect from late tonight through Wednesday morning. 

A colder air mass will settle over the region on today. Clear skies and near calm winds are expected tonight with low temperatures bottoming out in the upper 20s and lower 30s acrossinland northeast Florida including the Suwannee River valley early Wednesday morning. Widespread frost is expected as well. Durations below freezing are generally expected in the 2 to 6 hour range.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Monday, February 07, 2011

Widespread Rain Will Become Heavy At Times Today ...

Now
Light rain with embedded moderate showers continue to move across northeast Florida. The showers are moving northeast to east at 10 to 15 mph. Rainfall amounts will vary, generally less than a quarter of an inch.

Today
Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall possible. Highs 59 to 64. Southeast winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain near 100 %.

Tonight
Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, hen mostly clear after midnight. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 %.

Hazardous Weather
A Gulf Of Mexico low pressure system will bring widespread rain to the area today. Isolated thunderstorms are possible. Heavy rainfall is the main concern. Ponding of water on area roads will create hazardous driving conditions. Total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches will be possible by the time the rain wraps up late this evening.

Forecast Details
Rain event has so far unfolded as expected. Most of northeast Florida has already picked up about a third of an inch overnight. Rain will continue throughout the day and will become heavy at times this afternoon. Two surface lows have developed along southern extension of an eastern moving cold front that stretches from Michigan all the way down into the Gulf of Mexico. One low is over southeastern Arkansas while a 2nd low is developing over the Gulf of Mexico south of Louisiana. Based on surface analysis, the GFS is overall handling the situation the best. But overall the models are in really good agreement.

Vigorous shortwave over Texas will swing east across the Gulf Coast today. The Gulf low will race east and move somewhere across our southern zones this afternoon. There is some question as to how far north to bring the warm front but this will mainly have an impact on maximum temperatures. Large scale lift will become enhanced as the low treks across the area this afternoon.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected today in a broad swath centered around a line from Jacksonville to Gainesville. These amounts although somewhat excessive for this time of year, will remain below flash flood guidance numbers. However with that said there will likely be some minor Urban and Small Stream flooding today. Ponding of water on area roads will be an issue throughout the day. Did give some thought to a Flood Watch but extensive flooding is not anticipated. A few areas though could total as much as 3 inches by the time the rain wraps up this evening. Lesser amounts of rain are expected on the north and south edges of our County Warning Area, where total rainfall amounts will generally average around a half inch or less.

Very dynamical system, with the area embedded within the right entrance region of strong jet core north of the area, will support the potential for a few elevated thunderstorms. The best chances will be along and south of the surface warm front, roughly south of a line from Gainesville to St. Augustine.

Temperatures today not likely to make much of a move due to rain and deep cloud layer. There will be potential for temperatures to near 70 degrees south of the warm front but most of the area will experience a chilly rain.

Colder air will be drawn into tonight as the cold front advances away from the region. Minimum temperatures tonight will rely on how fast we clear out but temperatures should remain just above freezing across the interior of southeast Georgia. Elsewhere temperatures will fall into the upper 30s and low 40s.

Today's Pollen Levels: 0.8 Low (on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Sunday, February 06, 2011

Today
Cloudy with a scattered showers in the morning. Mostly cloudy with isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 mph. Chance of rain 40 %.

Tonight
Showers. Chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 mph. Chance of rain 80 %.

Hazardous Weather
Isolated thunderstorms are possible in northeast florida tonight. some of these storms may produce heavy rain late tonight.

Forecast Details
Narrow band of positive vorticity advection is advancing across northeast Florida south of the I-10 corridor. Doppler radars indicate light showers were accompanying this band. For the remainder of today, aforementioned band will continue to press southward and will likely stall over or just south of Marion County this afternoon. Satellite trends indicate clouds have exited a large portion of southeast Georgia. Cloud shield will continue to press southward the remainder of today with just about all of southeast Georgia expected to be in the clear by afternoon, with decreasing clouds noted along and north of the I-10 corridor across northeast Florida. Zone forecast product has been updated, with chance probability of precipitation mainly along and south of a Gainesville – St. Augustine line today.

Today's Pollen Levels: 4.2 Low Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

Saturday, February 05, 2011

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 70. West wind between 10 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Tonight
A 40 % chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 44. West wind between 5 and 8 mph. 

Hazardous Weather
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the area today as a cold front slowly moves through. severe weather is not anticipated.

Forecast Details
Deepening mid level low over southern Missouri has already turned the corner as it encounters resistance from deep southwesterly flow around northwestern periphery of a strong and stubborn mid-level high over the Turks and Caicos island. the upper low will quickly eject northeast into the Ohio Valley today. At the surface, a weak low over the Florida Big Bend is beginning to open up as it becomes absorbed by deeper surface low on the east side of aforementioned upper low. northeast winds along the coast relentlessly held on through the much of the night but are finally starting to retreat as winds begin to veer to the south, this will send a warm front rapidly north across the area.

Showers are likely across the entire area today as a surface front limps through. Temperatures are once again a challenge today. In fact, this will remain the case for the next several days. Given strength of warm front., decided to go a little above guidance today, which yields highs in the 50s across the northwestern zones and in the mid 70s across the southeastern zones. in fact some areas in the latter zones are likely to see some sun peek out this morning before the rain arrives.

Most of the dense fog early this morning is originating from water sources. thus it is most dense along the coast and near the St. Johns River. tough call on when it will break but increasing southerly flow should break it up over the land areas by mid-morning. A dense fog advisory will continue along the Atlantic coast until mid morning. but we may be able to drop it a little earlier, this will be monitored.

Additional showers are likely to develop tonight as deep layer moisture lingers and shortwave energy cuts into the ridge. clearing skies will begin in southeast Georgia tonight as the surface high currently trailing the cold front shifts east into the area. Northwest winds around the high will drive the front south of the area by Sunday morning with most of the shower activity coming to the end. Temperatures may in fact drop to near freezing over the interior of southeast Georgia under clear skies with calm winds. temps will drop into the 40s across northeast Florida.

Today's Pollen Levels: 3.2 Low Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/