Today

Rain in the morning, then slight chance of rain and drizzle in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80 %.

Tonight

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds 5 mph.

Hazardous Weather

Cold rain associated with a low pressure system will continue across the area today with clearing from the northwest during the afternoon. Total rainfall amounts are expected to be one quarter inch to one inch.

Forecast Details

A cold front is across northeast Florida early this morning with St. Augustine the most recent site reporting a 180 degree wind shift from southeast winds to northwest. MSAS analysis centers a low the northeast Gulf and another near the northeast Florida coast. With these lows traveling along the front and near zonal flow aloft, the front will be slow to move out of the area. Isolated lightning has occurred as storms move onshore off the Gulf. Most storms have been weakening as they track eastward. NAM suggests mu convective available potential energy of around 200j over Suwannee Valley in pre-dawn hours, then decreasing by sunrise as front drifts southeast. Isentropic lift is keeping most of precipitation on north side of front, and will keep likely to categorical probability of precipitation for most of the area through the morning while the system slowly moves toward the southeast. Rain/drizzle is expected to end for most of southeast Georgia and Suwannee River valley by early afternoon and will go with 20-30% for northeast Florida coast inland to Gainesville and Ocala after 1 PM.

By tonight, models have the front stalled over South Florida as low pressure develops near the Bahamas. This low will track toward the North Atlantic Friday and Friday night.

Today's Pollen Levels: 3.9 Low Medium(on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen: Juniper.

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/