Today: A 30 % chance of rain, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Southwest wind between 10 and 13 mph. 

Tonight: A 40 % chance of rain. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southwest wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm. 

Hazardous Weather: increasing moisture off the Gulf Of Mexico along with a frontal boundary north of the area will result in the development of light rain showers along and north of the I-10 corridor today. Other than wet roadways, no additional hazardous weather is anticipated from this activity.

As the front drops south tonight, additional showers will develop along the front and areas of fog with patchy dense conditions will likely form north of the front over the Georgia portion. Drivers should pay attention for sudden reductions in visibility tonight.

Forecast Details:.highly baroclinic pattern in place across the area as surface front continues to be draped across the deep south from Charlotte to Macon and the Panhandle region of Florida. Surge off the Gulf of Mexico has allowed and influx of moisture along the front with dew points running near 60 for the aforementioned zone. Sharp decline in dew points on either side of this feature with our area showing values ranging from the middle 50s to the middle to upper 30s over the southeast portion of the area. Flow off the Gulf just above the surface is riding up and over this drier and colder dome to create an increasingly favorable isentropic profile as evidenced by rapid cloud increase and shower development which has yet to impinge upon the County Warning Area.

Initialized 00z model suite has this area of -ra/-shra pegged very well as it eventually moves into the Suwannee Valley and southeast Georgia by daybreak. Will take eastern half a while to moisten up low levels sufficiently to allow for precipitation, but once it does, Middle Range scattered probability of precipitation will take hold along and north of the I-10 corridor with a narrow corridor of likely probability of precipitation developing by afternoon. Zone may actually be narrower than currently depicted based on sharp baroclinic zone but will let day shift refine as precipitation field takes shape.

Our brief encounter with zonal flow will quickly be replaced by a digging shortwave into the lower Mississippi Valley tonight. This will amplify the overall trough along the East Coast and allow for low pressure to develop over the northern Gulf. By this time, baroclinic zone will bisect the County Warning Area with isentropic induced -ra over the Georgia portion and showers streaming in ahead of the front for Florida portion. Will continue categorical probability of precipitation for this time period with likely increases with subsequent forecasts should model trends continue.

Model instability still looks too meager for ts inclusion at this point but am concerned about trends and vicinity of warm front over the area. Although low level jet is not especially strong, two distinct zones of high helicity will be present and favorable isentropic profile could tip scales toward convection near warm front under right conditions. Will keep this out for now, but mention uncertainties in updated severe weather potential statement. 

Low lifts out on Saturday night and favor the longer lingering NAM12 for this cycle. Clearing and cooler conditions for the remainder of the short term with light freeze possible across inland portions Sunday night. 

Today's Pollen Levels: 0.3 Low (on a scale to 12); Predominate Pollen:Juniper 

For additional information visit the National Weather Service in Jacksonville website on the internet at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/