"Weather forecast for tonight: dark. Continued dark overnight, with widely scattered light by morning."
George Carlin
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...Scattered To Numerous Storms This Afternoon And Heat Indices 100 To 103 Inland Areas This Afternoon...
Today: Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 %t. Heat index readings 98 to 102.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. A 40 % chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
High temperatures in the mid 90s inland will push heat indices to 100 to 103 degrees this afternoon. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors.
Scattered to numerous storms are expected to develop today mainly during the afternoon and evening as the sea breezes begin to develop and progress inland. The most coverage of storms is expected to be west of I-95. Some storms will be strong and produce frequent cloud to ground lightning, strong and gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall of over 2 inches. This heavy rainfall may cause local flooding of low lying or poor drainage areas.
Today's pollen level: 2.1-Low (on a scale of 1to12): predominate pollen: Grass and Oak.
Forecast Details: patchy fog has burned off leaving mostly sunny skies once again this morning. Middle-level short-wave just northwest of the area will make slow progress southeast through the day. Weak positive vorticity advection will aid in convective initiation today, along with persistent weak low-level forcing along surface trough which cuts across southeast Georgia as well. More shower and thunderstorm activity ongoing in the northeast Gulf of Mexico and even over the Atlantic waters north of the area. More instability available today as well with modified convective available potential energy over 3500 j/kg. In fact, temperatures have fallen 2c to 4c between 300mb and 500mb. Hail growth region has increased in size over Saturday and middle-level lapse rates have increased as well. However, there is less north shear available to tilt storms today. So, hail is possible in strongest storms but should be mostly sub-severe. Slow storm motion will lead to locally heavy rain amounts and frequent lightning will also be a threat. Expect storms to initiate near and east of surface trough and vorticity maximum, particularly along the Gulf of Mexico coast where light southwest gradient will lead to predominant Gulf sea breeze. Convection should begin to fill in during the early afternoon with somewhat greater coverage expected than Saturday, especially across northeast Florida and extreme southeast Georgia.
Spotters Are Requested To Self-Activate If Warnings Are Issued.
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