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Florida, United States
Bred, raised, educated and life long Floridian, and proud of it. E-mail at one(dot)legged(dot)old(dot)fat(dot)man(at)gmail(dot)com

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Thursday WX Outlook...

"Weather forecast for tonight: dark. Continued dark overnight, with widely scattered light by morning."
George Carlin

...Hot Conditions To Continue Along With Scattered Strong And Isolated Severe Thunderstorms This Afternoon And Evening...

Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 90s. Light winds becoming northwest 5 mph in the morning, then shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 60 %. Heat index readings 101 to 105.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. A 30 % chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 mph.

High temperatures in the lower to mid 90s will push heat indices to around 105 degrees this afternoon. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors.

Scattered to numerous storms are expected to develop today mainly during the afternoon and evening as the sea breezes begin to develop and progress inland. Storm motion will be toward the east at 5 to 10 mph. scattered strong to isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds will be possible. The slow storm motion will lead to locally heavy rainfall as well. Excessive lightning is expected in the stronger storms.

Today's pollen level: 2.9-Low Medium (on a scale of 1to12): predominate pollen: Grass and Oak.

Forecast Details: mid level short-wave axis stretches from central Georgia south-southwest through the Florida Panhandle and lift and positive vortex advection along and ahead of this feature is continuing some light shower activity across southeastern Georgia with an isolated thunderstorms possible through the morning hours. This feature will help to enhance afternoon thunderstorm activity and have kept 50-60% rain chances in the forecast across the inland areas. An earlier start to daytime convection will temper highs to the mid 90s with heat indices topping out around 105. Scattered strong to isolated severe thunderstorm activity is possible once again with gusty winds the main threat. Steering flow will remain very weak at 5 knots or less and locally heavy rainfall will continue to be possible especially with PWATs around 2 inches.

For more weather information go to NWS/JAX at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jax/

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