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Florida, United States
Bred, raised, educated and life long Floridian, and proud of it. E-mail at one(dot)legged(dot)old(dot)fat(dot)man(at)gmail(dot)com

Friday, August 20, 2010


Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday:A 50 % chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph.

Sunday Night: A 40 % chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74.

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon. Slow moving thunderstorms may produce locally heavy rainfall amounts in the stronger storm activity.

Forecast Details: Saturday weak positive vorticity advection from the middle level low now over Alabama drifts across south Georgia as the surface front shifts farther south over our County Warning Area with a northwest-southeast orientation as a surface ridge builds over the mid-Atlantic. Expect likely probability of precipitation across all inland areas tommorow as the ridge over South Florida weakens. Highs will near the lower 90s again under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies.

Late Saturday into Sunday models diverge with respect to the development of a broad surface low along the front. The GFS a broad low centered over south Georgia 7 am Sunday morning, while the NAM12 places the low center east of Miami. If the NAM12 scenario develops drier air from the northeast would likely filter over our zones with precipitable waters dropping near 1.3 inches. The GFS40 scenario continues to advertise high probability of precipitation with precipitable waters near 2.4 inches. Capped probability of precipitation at 50% across our western zones under a light east-southeast flow surface flow. Temperatures will continue above normal.

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